Author Topic: Alarmister fornekter klimaflyktninger  (Read 426 times)


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Alarmister fornekter klimaflyktninger
« on: 10.10.2020, 16:18:35 »
Forskning på klimaflyktninger viser en grell kontrast mellom skrekk-oppslagene om "bølger" av klimaflyktninger som vil invadere oss, og det svært lave tallet på reelle flyktninger. Knapt noen slike krysser landegrenser. Morsomt å lese denne artikkelen der forfatterne anstrenger seg for å forsikre om at de er på den rette klimasiden -men dessverre, når det gjelder klima-flyktningene, viser tallene noe annet enn  propagandaen.

We point to how mobility in the context of climate change is highly diverse – what the vast body of empirical research on the subject has shown is far different from the image of mass movements of people moving abroad.

Instead, we see highly varied and fragmented climate-related journeys. For instance, climate mobility can take the form of short-term, short-distance movements, rural-to-urban migration, or voluntary immobility. Contrary to the alarmist rhetoric of mass international migration, most movements do not involve crossing a border. For instance a million Somalians were internally displaced by a drought in 2016-17 – this dwarfs the numbers involved in any international climate migration.

Og i Somalia-tilfellet er dette altså en midlertidig situasjon, slik det er for det fleste  forflytninger som skyldes naturkatastrofer.

Men å spå om fremtiden er uten risiko, så lenge man sikter langt nok frem i tid:

Climate Migrants Might Reach One Billion by 2050
Imagine a world with as many as one billion people facing harsh climate change impacts resulting in devastating droughts and/or floods, extreme weather, destruction of natural resources, in particular lands, soils and water, and the consequence of severe livelihoods conditions, famine and starvation.

Although not yet based on definite scientific projections, the proven speed with which the process of climate change has been taking place, might lead to such a scenario by 2050. If so, 1 in 9 human beings would be on the move by then.

Currently, forecasts vary from 25 million to 1 billion environmental migrants by 2050, moving either within their countries or across borders, on a permanent or temporary basis, with 200 million being the most widely cited estimate, according to a 2015 study carried out by the Institute for Environment and Human Security of the United Nations University.