Author Topic: Dokumentasjon pÃ¥ at solen er sentral klimadriver  (Read 1710 times)

Telehiv

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Jeg er blant dem som lener meg på forskning som hevder at solen er den sentrale faktor bak de naturlige sykluser.
Mengden forskning som støtter dette er etter hvert overveldende. Her er en liste med nyere forskning i årene opp til og med 2012, som er systematisk oversett i IPCCs siste rapport (AR5/2014).

HVorfor stanse ved 2012? Det finnes jo enormt mye forskng på samme området i 2013 og 2014?! Jo, men her kan det ikke hevdes at IPCC ikke har hatt tid å vurdere disse arbeidene til AR5. See?

Fagfellevurderte studier - oversett av IPCC i AR5/2014

2012

1. Using data to attribute episodes of warming and cooling in instrumental records, Ka-Kit Tung1 and Jiansong Zhou, 12/2012; â??â?¦anthropogenic global warming trends might have been overestimated by a factor of two in the second half of the 20th century.â?

2. Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites, Stephen Po-Chedley and Qiang Fu, 10/2012. Read more here.

3. Significant Changes to ENSO Strength and Impacts in the Twenty-First Century: Results from CMIP5, Samantha Stevenson, 09/2012; read more here, â??â?¦ENSO amplitude does and does not respond to climate change...â?

4.  Secular temperature trends for the southern Rocky Mountains over the last five centuries, Berkelhammer and Stott, 09/2012. â??Temperature trends in SW US have been relatively stable over last 5 centuries.â?

5. Solar forcing on the ice winter severity index in the western Baltic region, M.C. Leal-Silv et al, 09/2012, read http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/09/05/solar-activity-linked-to-arctic-winter-severity/more here. â??â?¦ice winter severity index is strongly modulated by solar activity at the decadal periodicity.â?

6. Radiation Budget of the West African Sahel and its Controls: A Perspective from Observations and Global Climate Models, Miller et al, 8/2012, read more here; â??â?¦ GCMs underestimated the surface LW and SW CRF and predicted near zero SW CRE when the measured values were substantially largerâ?¦â?

7. Pressure changes in the Arctic from 1801 to 1920 Atmospheric , Przybylak et al, 08/2012; read more here. â??â?¦that the atmospheric pressure in early [Arctic] instrumental period [from 1801 to 1920] was not significantly different to that of present day.â?

8. Orbital forcing of tree-ring data, Esper et al, 07/2012; read hmore here. â??â?¦large-scale near-surface air-temperature reconstructions relying on tree-ring data may underestimate pre-instrumental temperatures including warmth during Medieval and Roman times.â?

9. Impact of the solar cycle and the QBO on the atmosphere and the ocean, Petrick et al, 07/2012; Read more here. â??â?¦it is concluded that comprehensive climate model studies require a middle atmosphere as well as a coupled ocean to investigate and understand natural climate variability.â?

10. Marine climatic seasonality during early medieval times (10th to 12th centuries) based on isotopic records in Viking Age shells from Orkney, Scotland, Surge and Barret, 07/2012; read more here . â??â?¦conclusion that the early MCA was warmer than the late 20th century by ~ 1 °C.â?

11. Investigation of methods for hydroclimatic data homogenization, Steirou, E., and D. Koutsoyiannis, 07/2012; read more here. â??â?¦results cast some doubts in the use of homogenization procedures and tend to indicate that the global temperature increase during the last century is between 0.4°C and 0.7°Câ?¦â?

12. Multi-archive summer temperature reconstruction for the European Alps, AD 1053â??1996. Trachsel et al, 07/2012; read more here.

13. A 101 year record of windstorms in the Netherlands. Cusack, 07/2012; read more here.

14. Winter temperature variations over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River since 1736 AD. Z.-X. Hao et al, 06/2012; read more here .

15. Does the Sun work as a nuclear fusion amplifier of planetary tidal forcing? A proposal for a physical mechanism based on the mass-luminosity relation (PDF), Nicola Scafetta, 06/2012, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Volumes 81â??82, pp. 27-40.

16. Holocene glacier fluctuations and climate changes in the southeastern part of the Russian Altai (South Siberia) based on a radiocarbon chronology, 06/2012; read more here.

17. A 9170-year record of decadal-to-multi-centennial scale pluvial episodes from the coastal Southwest United States: a role for atmospheric rivers?, Kirby et al, 06/2012; read more here.

18. The Medieval Climate Anomaly in the Iberian Peninsula reconstructed from marine and lake records Moreno et al, 06/2012; â??â?¦a persistent positive mode of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) dominated the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA: 900â??1300 AD).â?

19. Alternative pathway for atmospheric particles growth. Monge et al, 05/2012, Read more here. â??â?¦aerosols still pose key uncertainties in the understanding of Earthâ??s radiative balance {â?¦] major gaps exist in the understanding of the physicochemical pathways that lead to aerosol growthâ?¦â?

20. Changes in climate variability in Central Europe during the past 250 years 05/2012 read more here.

21. Solar influences on atmospheric circulation,  K. Georgieva et al, 05/2012, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics

22. Nile Delta vegetation response to Holocene climate variability, Bernhardt et al, 05/2012; read more here.

23. Tree ring based precipitation reconstruction in the south slope of the middle Qilian Mountains, northeastern Tibetan Plateau, over the last millennium 04/2012, Read more here.

24. Tree ring based precipitation reconstruction in the south slope of the middle Qilian Mountains, northeastern Tibetan Plateau, over the last millennium, Junyan Sun, Yu Liu, 04/2012, Journal of Geophysical Research, Volume 117

25. Evidence of Suess solar-cycle bursts in subtropical Holocene speleothem δ18O records, 04/2012; read more here.

26. Spring temperature variability relative to the North Atlantic Oscillation and sunspots â?? A correlation analysis with a Monte Carlo implementation, 04/2012; read more here.

27. Trends in sunspots and North Atlantic sea level pressure, Harry van Loon et al., 04/2012, Journal of Geophysical Research, Volume 117

28. Assessment of the relationship between the combined solar cycle/ENSO forcings and the tropopause temperature Alfred M. Powell Jr., Jianjun Xu, 03/2012, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Volume 80, pp. 21â??27

29. Strong evidence for the influence of solar cycles on a Late Miocene lake system revealed by biotic and abiotic proxies A. K. Kern, Palaeogeography, 03/2012, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, Volumes 329â??330, pp. 124â??136

30. Variability of rainfall and temperature (1912â??2008) parameters measured from Santa  Maria (29°41′S, 53°48′W) and their connections with ENSO and solar  activity P. H. Rampelotto et al, 03/2012, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Volume 77, pp. 152â??160

31. Multi-scale harmonic model for solar and climate cyclical variation throughout the Holocene based on Jupiterâ??Saturn tidal frequencies plus the 11-year  solar dynamo cycle (PDF), Nicola Scafetta  03/2012, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics

32. Bicentennial Decrease of the Total Solar Irradiance Leads to Unbalanced Thermal Budget of the Earth and the Little Ice Age, Habibullo I. Abdussamatov, 02/2012 (PDF)
 Applied Physics Research, Volume 4, Issue 1, pp.178-184

33. An ikaite record of late Holocene climate at the Antarctic Peninsula, Lu et al, 02/2012; read more here. â??â?¦record qualitatively supports that both the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age extended to the Antarctic Peninsula.â?

34. Hydroclimate of the northeastern United States is highly sensitive to solar forcing, Nichols et al, 02/2012; read more here. â??â?¦Regional moisture balance responds strongly and consistently to solar forcing at centennial to millennial timescalesâ?¦â?

35. The long sunspot cycle 23 predicts a significant temperature decrease in cycle 24 , Solheim et al, 02/2012; read more here. â??â?¦25â??56% of the temperature increase the last 150 years may be attributed to the Sun.â?

36. 9,400 years of cosmic radiation and solar activity from ice cores and tree rings, Steinhilber et al, 02/2012, read more here.

37. High-resolution sea surface reconstructions off Cape Hatteras over the last 10 ka, Cléroux et al, 02/2012; read more here. â??The last decade of paleoclimate research has shown that the Holocene is not the stable, climatic event-free period as previously thought: both external and internal (oceanic) forcings have caused major climatic changes.â?

38. Variability and extremes of northern Scandinavian summer temperatures over the past two millennia, Esper et al, 01/2012; read more here. â??The warmest and coldest reconstructed 30-year periods (AD 21â??50 = + 1.05 °C, and AD 1451â??80 = − 1.19 °C) differ by more than 2 °C, and the range between the five warmest and coldest reconstructed summers in the context of the past 2000 years is estimated to exceed 5 °C.â?

39. Climatic variations over the last 4000 cal yr BP in the western margin of the Tarim Basin, Xinjiang, reconstructed from pollen data, 01/2012; read more here.

40. Possible evidence of the resonant influence of solar forcing on the climate system. Gusev and Martin, 01/2012; read more here.

41. Solar and volcanic fingerprints in tree-ring chronologies over the past 2000 years, Breitenmoser et al, 2012. â??...significant periodicities near the DeVries frequency during the entire past 1500 years, pointing to a solar imprint on global climate.â?

42. Bunker Cave stalagmites: an archive for central European Holocene climate variability , J. Fohlmeister, 2012. â??â?¦We found cold and dry periods between 9 and 7 ka, 6.5 and 5.5 ka, 4 and 3 ka as well as between 0.7 to 0.2 ka.â?

43. Bacterial GDGTs in Holocene sediments and catchment soils of a high Alpine lake: application of the MBT/CBT-paleothermometer, Niemann et al, 2012, read more here. â??â?¦Major climate anomalies recorded by the MBT/CBT-paleothermometer are, for instance, the Little Ice Age (~14th to 19th century) and the Medieval Warm Period (MWP, ~9th to 14th century).â?

2011

44. Variability of rainfall and temperature (1912â??2008) parameters measured from Santa Maria (29°41′S, 53°48′W) and their connections with ENSO and solar activity , Rampelotto et al, 12/2011; read more here. â??â?¦study shows that both solar activity fluctuations and internal oceanic cycles played crucial roles on Southern Brazilian climate during the last 100 years and continue to play a role today.

45. A 15,000 year record of vegetation and climate change from a treeline lake in the Rocky Mountains, Wyoming, USA, Mensing et al, 12/2011; read more here. â??â?¦

46. A possible solar pacemaker for Holocene fluctuations of a salt-marsh in southern Italy, Di Rita, 12/2011; read more here. â??â?¦important fluctuations in the extent of the salt-marsh in the coastal Tavoliere plain are related to variations of solar activity.â?

47. Testing an astronomically based decadal-scale empirical harmonic climate model versus the IPCC (2007) general circulation climate models , 12/2011; read more here.

48. Solar Activity and Svalbard Temperatures, Solheim et al, 11/2011; read more here. â??â?¦models show that 60 per cent of the annual and winter temperature variations are explained by solar activity.â?

49. Mesospheric temperature trends at mid-latitudes in summer, Berger et al, 11/2011; â??â?¦This large cooling is primarily caused by long-term changes of ozone in the upper stratosphere in combination with a CO2 increase.â?

50. Variation in surface air temperature of China during the 20th century, Willie Soon, Koushik Dutta, David R. Legates, Victor Velasco, WeiJia Zhang, 10/2011, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Volume 73, Issue 16, pp. 2331-2344.

51. Disturbances with hiatuses in high-latitude coral reef growth during the Holocene: Correlation with millennial-scale global climate change, Hamanaka et al, 10/2011, read more here. â??â?¦coral reef growth was interrupted by suborbital millennial-scale global climate change induced by persistent solar activity during the Holoceneâ?¦â?

52. Mid-Holocene variability of the East Asian monsoon based on bulk organic δ13C and C/N records from the Pearl River estuary, southern China , 2011, read about it here.

53. Short term climate variability during â??Roman Classical Periodâ? in the eastern Mediterranean, Liang Chen et al, 10/2011; read more here . â??â?¦suggests that solar variability might be one of the major forcings of the regional climate.â?

54. A shared frequency set between the historical mid-latitude aurora records and the global surface temperature (PDF), Nicola Scafetta, 10/2011,
 Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics

55. Amplitudes, rates, periodicities and causes of temperature variations in the past 2485 years and future trends over the central-eastern Tibetan Plateau, 09/2011, LIU Yu; read more here. â??The long-term trends (>1000 a) of temperature were controlled by the millennium-scale cycle, and amplitudes were dominated by multi-century cycles. Moreover, cold intervals corresponded to sunspot minimums. The prediction indicated that the temperature will decrease in the future until to 2068 ADâ?¦â?

56. Identifying natural contributions to late Holocene climate change , Humlum et al, 09/2011; read more here. â??â?¦causes of millennial climate changes remain poorly understoodâ?¦the role of such recurrent natural climate variations in the future climate development.â?

57. The Evolution of the Albufereta Lagoon (Western Mediterranean): Climate Cycles and Sea-Level Changes , Garcia and Morilla, 08/2011; read more here. â??â?¦the two periods of most frequent superstorm strikes in the Aigues-Mortes Gulf (AD 455 and 1700-1900) coincide with two of the coldest periods in Europe during the late Holoceneâ?¦â?

58. Temporal derivative of Total Solar Irradiance and anomalous Indian summer  monsoon: An empirical evidence for a Sunâ??climate connection, Rajesh Agnihotri, Koushik Dutta, Willie Soon, 08/2011, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Volume 73, Issue 13, pp. 1980-1987
 

59. Evidences for a quasi 60-year North Atlantic Oscillation since 1700 and its meaning for global climate change (PDF), Adriano Mazzarella, Nicola Scafetta, 08/2011,
 Theoretical and Applied Climatology

60. Climate patterns in north central China during the last 1800 yr and their possible driving force, Tan et al, 07/2011, read more here. â??â?¦Solar activity may be the dominant force that drove the same-phase variations of the temperature and precipitation in north central China.â?

61. On the time-varying trend in global-mean surface temperature. Wu et al, 07/2011; Read more here.

62. Multifractal Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis of Sunspot Numbers and River Flow Fluctuations, Hajian & Movahed, 07/2011; read more here. â??â?¦there exists a long-range cross-correlation between the sunspot numbers and the underlying streamflow records.â?

63. Holocene hydrological changes in south-western Mediterranean as recorded by lake-level fluctuations at Lago Preola, a coastal lake in southern Sicily, Italy, Magny et al, 06/2011; read more here. â??â?¦climate oscillation around 7500 â?? 7000 cal BP may have resulted from combined effects of a strong rate of change in insolation and of variations in solar activity.â?

64. Abrupt Holocene climate change and potential response to solar forcing in western Canada. Gavin et al, 05/2011: read more here. â??â?¦possible link between solar minima and El Niño-like conditions that are correlated with warm spring temperature in interior British Columbia.â?

65. Temperature prognosis based on long sunspot cycle 23, Solheim et al, 05/2011, read more here. â??â?¦We find that for the Norwegian local stations investigated that 30-90% of the temperature increase in this period may be attributed to the Sun. For the average of 60 European stations we find !60% and globally (HadCRUT3) 50%.â?

66. Possible impact of interplanetary and interstellar dust fluxes on the Earthâ??s climate, M. G. Ogurtsov, O. M. Raspopov, 04/2011, Geomagnetism and Aeronomy, Volume 51, Number 2, pp. 275-283

67. A new approach to the long-term reconstruction of the solar irradiance leads to large historical solar forcing (PDF), A. I. Shapiro et al., 04/2011, Astronomy & Astrophysics, Volume 529, A67

68. Variations in climate parameters at time intervals from hundreds to tens of  millions of years in the past and its relation to solar activity, O. M. Raspopov et. al., 02/2011, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Volume 73, Issues 2â??3, pp. 388â??399

69. Natural climatic oscillations driven by solar activity, A. A. Gusev, 02/2011, Geomagnetism and Aeronomy, Volume 51, Number 1, pp. 131-138

70. Variations in tree ring stable isotope records from northern Finland and their possible connection to solar activity, Maxim Ogurtsov, 02/2011, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Volume 73, Issues 2â??3, pp. 383â??387

71. New Basic One-Dimensional One-Layer Model Obtains Excellent Agreement with the Observed Earth Temperature, Link et al, 01/2011; read more here.

72. Sunâ??earth relationship inferred by tree growth rings in conifers from Severiano De Almeida, Southern Brazil
 (Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 01/2011) â?? A. Prestes et al.

73. Solar-geomagnetic activity influence on Earthâ??s climate Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 01/2011) â?? S. Mufti, G.N. Shah

74. Northern Hemisphere temperature patterns in the last 12 centuries, F. C. Ljungqvist, 2011; â??â?¦dominance of negative anomalies is observed from the 16th to 18th centuries [...] 20th century warming is within the range of natural variability over the last 12 centuries.â?

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