Klimadebatt

Klimadebatt => Modeller eller observasjoner => Topic started by: Ryddegutt on 15.06.2016, 18:44:13

Title: Hvilken planets klima er det IPCC prøver å simulere?
Post by: Ryddegutt on 15.06.2016, 18:44:13
Mon tro hvilke plantet skrullingene i IPCC egentlig prøver å simulere. Jorden er det i hvert fall ikke:

QuoteThe energy imbalance at the top of the atmosphere and ocean heat accumulation are crucial elements in the hypothesis of human-induced global warming. Because there is no agreement among the climate models about the energy imbalance at the top of the atmosphere (Figure 1), there can be no agreement among the climate models about the heat accumulating in the oceans (Figures 7 and 13).

With the unlikely outliers removed, or referring to the GISS Model E2-R and GISS Model E2-H simulations, the differences between the observed and modeled ocean heat accumulation indicate the models are much too sensitive to the hypothetical impacts of CO2.

Many of the modeled oceans in the models used by the IPCC for their 5th Assessment Report are not storing heat close to the (much-adjusted) observed rates, so those models are not simulating global warming as it exists on Earth.  But there's really nothing new about that either. We can simply add ocean heat accumulation and TOA energy imbalance to the list of things that climate models do not simulate properly: like surface temperatures, like precipitation, like polar sea ice, like polar amplification, like El Niño and La Niña processes, like the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, like the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and so on.

Once again, climate models have shown they are good for one thing and one thing only: to display how poorly they simulate Earth's climate.

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/08/26/climate-models-fail-global-ocean-heat-content-based-on-toa-energy-imbalance/ (https://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/08/26/climate-models-fail-global-ocean-heat-content-based-on-toa-energy-imbalance/)



(http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/CMIP5-90-models-global-Tsfc-vs-obs-thru-2013.png)